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    Basic Capacity Planning

    Foundation
    Phase: plan
    LT
    DF

    Quick Reference

    Phase
    plan
    Epic
    Backlog Quality & Planning Enablement
    Milestone
    Foundation
    Target
    +/- 1 sprint forecast accuracy for 70% of epics
    Implementation Time
    Part of Backlog Quality & Planning Enablement epic: 3 weeks (24 hours per capability avg)

    What & Why

    Definition

    Team tracks velocity over >= 3 sprints and forecasts completion dates for epics with +/- 1 sprint accuracy.

    Business Value

    Reduces sprint scope creep by 40% and improves story completion rate from 60% to 85% through clear acceptance criteria and retrospective-driven improvements Achieving +/- 1 sprint forecast accuracy for 70% of epics is a key milestone toward this goal.

    Context

    This capability is part of the Foundation milestone's focus on establish baseline practices (testable, releasable, monitorable). Essential for teams targeting LT, DF improvements.

    Success Criteria

    Target

    +/- 1 sprint forecast accuracy for 70% of epics

    Measurement

    Forecast vs actual completion date variance

    Evidence

    • Velocity charts
    • Epic forecasts
    • Variance reports

    In Practice

    Real-World Implementation

    Teams calculate 3-sprint average velocity, estimate epic size in story points, forecast completion using velocity +/- 20% buffer.

    Concrete Example

    Team velocity average: 40 points/sprint. Epic 'Mobile App' estimated 120 points. Forecast: 3 sprints +/- 1. Actual: 3.5 sprints (within tolerance).

    Implementation Guide

    Implementation Steps

    Follow the measurement approach: Forecast vs actual completion date variance

    For detailed step-by-step guidance, refer to the Backlog Quality & Planning Enablement Implementation Kit.

    Resources

    Implementation Kit

    Backlog Quality & Planning Enablement Kit

    Templates

    Browse all templates

    Related Resources

    View learning paths

    Related Capabilities

    Enables

    What this unlocks

    Automated Risk-Based Prioritization
    ML-Driven Capacity Forecasting

    Complementary

    Often adopted together, from the Backlog Quality & Planning Enablement epic

    Definition of Done Standard
    Non-Functional Requirements in Backlog
    Lightweight Threat Modeling
    Retrospective Action Item Tracking

    Troubleshooting & FAQs

    Common Issues

    Issue: Target metric not improving

    Solution: Verify measurement is accurate, check if prerequisites are fully implemented, review evidence artifacts for completeness

    Issue: Team resistance to adoption

    Solution: Start with pilot team, demonstrate value with metrics, provide training and support during transition

    Issue: Inconsistent implementation across teams

    Solution: Create shared templates and guidelines, establish regular sync meetings, use automation to enforce standards

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Can we implement this before completing prerequisites?

    While possible, it's not recommended. Prerequisites ensure foundational practices are in place, making this capability more effective and easier to adopt.

    How long does implementation typically take?

    Most capabilities can be implemented within 90 days when tackled as part of the Foundation milestone. Individual timelines vary based on team size and existing practices.

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